Quantifying and Elusive Threat

2008 Apr 13 Posted by Joseph Pascarella

Counter terrorism officials in Britain are releasing a report warning that the terror threat in Britain is actually worsening. This is not good news for not only Britain, but the entire European Union and given the decentralized and globalized structure of contemporary terror threats, other countries under threat throughout the. According to Jacqui Smith, the British Home Secretary, there are currently 200 terror networks, 30 active plots and 2,000 individuals under monitor by British officials. The Home Secretary also stated that these numbers represent an increase from the preceding year.

Quantifying this type of threat is particularly challenging given that the intensity of terror plots may vary and the investigations are very sophisticated. Additionally, it is unknown how many terror plots are deterred due to proactive investigations and enforcement. Another challenge is to quantify the expansiveness of the network. Public safety agencies worldwide are now required to monitor threats in other countries and assess how those threats maybe relevant to other countries. Part of this process requires an endeavor to try and quantify these threats.

Take care and stay safe.

Joe Pascarella

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Authors

Picture of Dr. Charles Tiffin, a contributor to Capella's public safety blog.
Dr. Charles Tiffin
Program Chair, Public Safety Program, Capella University
Picture of Dr. Joseph Pascarella, author of Capella's public safety news blog.
Dr. Joseph Pascarella
Core Faculty Member, Capella University
Picture of Dr. Harry Carter author of Capella's public safety news blog.
Dr. Harry Carter
Adjunct Faculty Member, Capella University
Melissa Beasley
Captain, Florence Alabama Police Department
Michael Brown
Capella University Learner

Lisa J. Bjergaard
Capella University Learner, and Director, Division of Juvenile Services North Dakota
Darryl Jones
Capella University Learner and Chief, Pittsburgh Bureau of Fire
Laura Pettler
Capella University Learner

Mark Rubin
Capella University Learner

Rebecca L. Smith
Capella University Learner, Manager of Emergency Planning and Training for Jefferson County Public Schools
Mark S. Warnick
Capella University Learner, Retired Asst. Fire Chief

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