Quantifying and Elusive Threat

2008 Apr 13 Posted by Joseph Pascarella

Counter terrorism officials in Britain are releasing a report warning that the terror threat in Britain is actually worsening. This is not good news for not only Britain, but the entire European Union and given the decentralized and globalized structure of contemporary terror threats, other countries under threat throughout the. According to Jacqui Smith, the British Home Secretary, there are currently 200 terror networks, 30 active plots and 2,000 individuals under monitor by British officials. The Home Secretary also stated that these numbers represent an increase from the preceding year.

Quantifying this type of threat is particularly challenging given that the intensity of terror plots may vary and the investigations are very sophisticated. Additionally, it is unknown how many terror plots are deterred due to proactive investigations and enforcement. Another challenge is to quantify the expansiveness of the network. Public safety agencies worldwide are now required to monitor threats in other countries and assess how those threats maybe relevant to other countries. Part of this process requires an endeavor to try and quantify these threats.

Take care and stay safe.

Joe Pascarella

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Authors

Picture of Dr. Steven Barthelmeus, aa contributor to Capella's public safety blog.
Dr. Steven Barthelmeus
Program Chair,
Public Safety – Criminal Justice/Forensics program, Capella University
Picture of Harry Carter, a contributor to Capella's public safety blog.
Dr. Harry Carter
Core Faculty Member,
Capella University
Picture of Shelly Gill, a contributor to Capella's public safety blog.
Dr. Shelly Gill
Adjunct Instructor, Capella University
Picture of Dr. Joseph Pascarella, author of Capella's public safety news blog.
Dr. Joseph Pascarella
Core Faculty Member, Capella University
Picture of Dr. Jeffrey Rush, author of Capella's public safety news blog.
Dr. Jeffrey Rush
Asst. Professor of Criminal Justice/Homeland Security, Dept. of Public Management and Criminal Justice, Austin Peay State University
Picture of Dr. Michael Kemp, author of Capella's public safety news blog.
Dr. Michael Kemp
Chair, Emergency Management, Capella University
Melissa Beasley
Captain, Florence Alabama Police Department
Darryl Jones
Capella University Learner and Chief, Pittsburgh Bureau of Fire
Dr. Laura Pettler
Investigator for Prosecutorial District Twenty A of North Carolina
Mark Rubin
Capella University Learner
Mark S. Warnick
Capella University Learner, Retired Asst. Fire Chief

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